Monday, February 6, 2023

On Our "Virtual Route 66" This Week: Out & About in Our World

 

Last week, a reporter for NPR asked me, “How conservative is the GOP?” It’s an awkward question because it all depends on what you mean by the word “conservative” these days.

A few years ago I (naively) thought I knew the answer. I’m not so sure anymore, so this is what I said:

As 2024 approaches, Sykes thinks that what people think of as conservatism may at this point be more about style than substance.

"It's whoever can play most effectively to the media wing of the Republican Party, who can anger the left, who promises to fight and inflict damage on the left more more aggressively."

But it’s actually more complicated and puzzling than that, isn’t it? Because what passes for “conservatism” now, in right-wing media and MAGA circles, is not really what Edmund Burke (or J.S. Mill, Milton Friedman, Bill Buckley, George Will, or Charles Krauthammer) had in mind, is it?

Herewith a short and admittedly incomplete guide to what MAGA “conservatism” is, and what it is not. Let me know what I left out.

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MAGA “conservativism” is for a strong national defense…

…except, of course, when it is not.

**

MAGA “Conservatives” believe in fiscal restraint…

…except when they are in the White House.

National Review’s Rich Lowry notes the “sporadic commitment to fiscal conservatism” by the GOP.

After a hiatus during the Trump years, Republicans are back in the mood for fiscal probity.

It’s very strange not to seriously pursue a deeply held goal when you have unified control of Washington, then to insist on trying to achieve much of it in one fell swoop when you barely have control of one chamber of Congress.

“Hiatus,” is kind of a nice way to put it. Actually, the Trump years added $7.8 trillion to the national debt in just four years — which is about 25 percent of the nation’s accumulated $31 trillion debt bomb.

**

“Conservatives” are devoted to the constitution, which must be strictly observed…

… except when it needs to be scrapped in order to hold onto power.

“Trump calls for the termination of the Constitution in Truth Social post.”

“Do you throw the Presidential Election Results of 2020 OUT and declare the RIGHTFUL WINNER, or do you have a NEW ELECTION? A Massive Fraud of this type and magnitude allows for the termination of all rules, regulations, and articles, even those found in the Constitution,” Trump wrote in a post on the social network Truth Social … “Our great ‘Founders’ did not want, and would not condone, False & Fraudulent Elections!”

**

MAGA “Conservatives” believe in “American Exceptionalism”…

…except when they are lavishing praise on foreign leaders like Viktor Orban, or (as I wrote earlier this week) wishing that we could be more like the Philippines, or China, in our willingness to kill suspected criminals.

And then there was this:

President Donald Trump appeared to equate US actions with the authoritarian regime of Russian President Vladimir Putin in an interview released Saturday, saying, “There are a lot of killers. You think our country’s so innocent?”


**

Conservatives used to support resistance to Russian aggression…

…but MAGA “Conservatives” are now Vladmir Putin’s most useful idiots.

Image

**

MAGA “Conservatives” are against Affirmative Action…

…except when they need to win a senate seat.

Official Run Herschel Run 2022 Georgia US Senate Pinback Button Herschel Walker

**

MAGA “Conservatives” are all about “law and order”…

…except when they say screw it. ...

In this photo provided by Chad Fish, the remnants of a large balloon drift above the Atlantic Ocean, just off the coast of South Carolina, with a fighter jet and its contrail seen below it, Saturday, Feb. 4, 2023. The downing of the suspected Chinese spy balloon by a missile from an F-22 fighter jet created a spectacle over one of the state’s tourism hubs and drew crowds reacting with a mixture of bewildered
 gazing, distress and cheering.

The remnants of the Chinese balloon drift above the Atlantic Ocean, just off the coast of South Carolina, with a fighter jet and its contrail seen below it, on Saturday, Feb. 4. | Chad Fish via AP

DRIVING THE DAY

On Saturday afternoon, the Chinese spy balloon that enraptured Americans’ attention for much of the last week was shot down six miles off the coast of South Carolina by an F-22 firing a Sidewinder air-to-air missile — marking the end of that spectacle and merely the beginning of what is sure to be a fierce political furor.

NYT’s Helene Cooper and Ed Wong“‘I told them to shoot it down,’ President [JOEBIDEN told reporters in Hagerstown, Md., on his way to Camp David on Saturday afternoon. ‘They said to me, let’s wait until the safest place to do it.’ …

“The president was alerted by the Pentagon on Tuesday that a spy balloon had entered continental American airspace near Idaho, White House officials said, and asked for military options. … Pentagon officials advised then against shooting down the balloon, whose belly structure was roughly the size of three buses, because of the possibility of harm to civilians and infrastructure while it was over land. Pentagon officials also said they did not view the intelligence threat from the balloon as any more extensive than what China could glean from a satellite.”

WaPo’s David Ignatius: “The public spectacle of a spy balloon floating over America has been an embarrassment for the Biden administration, to be sure. But the administration can claim that it waited for the most opportune moment to destroy the balloon and capture its secret payload — and that the strange affair was a net intelligence plus for the United States.” Read Ignatius for more on the intelligence angle

POLITICO’s Nahal Toosi and Phelim Kine write that the balloon affair was “not necessarily a death blow” to the U.S.-China relationship. “[T]he two countries are too interdependent to opt for a drastic downgrade in bilateral ties. Both the Biden administration and senior Chinese officials … have recently emphasized the need to improve the tenor in the U.S.-China relationship. And historically, other U.S.-Chinese incidents that have roiled the relationship eventually faded in favor of resumed, if strained, ties.”

Where it may have an impact: U.S. public opinion. “Chinese spying has never been so front and center in the American public consciousness,” LYLE MORRIS, former country director for China at the Office of the Secretary of Defense, told Nahal and Phelim. “If there were any people still on the fence about a China threat or not, that’s pretty much been foreclosed.” Timeline by Lara Seligman and Sam Stein

WILL BIDEN’S SOTU BE A 2024 ‘SOFT LAUNCH’? — You can expect the balloon to be a topic of discussion in Biden’s State of the Union address on Tuesday. But the thrust of the speech will be used to “paint the broad strokes of a likely campaign ahead, contrasting his notion of steady leadership with the newly elected, likely chaotic Republican House,” Jonathan Lemire writes in his must-read preview. “Privately, aides are hoping the GOP lawmakers in attendance will help him achieve the contrast. …

“Biden has not yet declared his candidacy but the State of the Union could very well double as a soft launch for a 2024 bid. The president has said he intends to stand for re-election, though some of his closest advisers caution that a final decision has not yet been made. In somewhat classic Biden fashion, the timeline for an announcement has shifted, according to four people familiar with the decision.” Looking back: “Biden’s 2022 State of the Union proposals: What flopped and what succeeded,” by WaPo’s Glenn Kessler

HOUSE GOP EYES BALLOON VOTE AHEAD OF SOTU — Our own Olivia Beavers reports this morning that House Republicans “are discussing moving a resolution that’d criticize the Biden admin for inaction re. the Chinese surveillance balloon. My leadership source says if they pull [the] trigger, it’d likely hit the floor Tuesday (that’d be ~SAME~ day as Biden’s State of the Union address).”

COMPLICATING GOP TALKING POINTS — From deep in the AP’s writeup of the balloon incident: “U.S. officials said Saturday that similar Chinese balloons transited the continental United States briefly at least three times during the Trump administration and once that they know about earlier in the Biden administration.”

… AND YET — Rep. MARJORIE TAYLOR GREENE (R-Ga.) tweeted last night that she just spoke with former President DONALD TRUMP, and he “would have shot [the balloon] down before it entered the U.S.”

 

A message from The American Petroleum Institute (API):

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PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - FEBRUARY 03: U.S. President Joe Biden arrives to the podium as U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris looks on during the Democratic National Committee winter meeting on February 03, 2023 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Earlier in the day President Biden and Vice President Harris visited a water treatment plant in the city where they announced
 $160 million to upgrade Philadelphia water facilities and replace 20 miles of lead service lines.

President Joe Biden arrives to the podium as VP Kamala Harris looks on during the DNC winter meeting on Friday, Feb. 3, in Philadelphia. | Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images

MARK YOUR CALENDARS — After months of hubbub, the Democratic National Committee on Saturday finally approved the 2024 nominating contest calendar chosen by Biden and top aides.

The 2024 primary calendar:

  • Feb. 3 … South Carolina 
  • Feb. 6 … New Hampshire and Nevada 
  • Feb. 13 … Georgia 
  • Feb. 27 … Michigan

In our view, the calendar’s biggest impacts are (1) de-emphasizing caucus contests, which critics have long assailed for being undemocratic and favoring candidates popular among the partisan base; (2) boosting states with much higher levels of diversity than Iowa and New Hampshire, which have traditionally kicked off the nominating contests, and; (3) all but eliminating the possibility that someone will be able to successfully mount a primary challenge to Biden.

The drama largely unfolded in public, as Iowa and New Hampshire made a “final appeal to DNC members,” our Elena Schneider writes. It didn’t work.

Though the calendar is official, Elena reports there are still logistical issues in New Hampshire and Georgia, where GOP control of the state governments stands in the way of the changes. Neither state has yet moved its primary date.

New Hampshire has a state law that requires its primary to be the first in the nation, and it appears likely to forge ahead despite the substantial penalties the party will levy against NH Democrats and any candidates who opt to compete there if the state jumps the line.

In Georgia, Republican Secretary of State BRAD RAFFENSPERGER has “already ruled out splitting the Democratic and Republican primaries into two different dates,” Elena writes. “The office also said it wouldn’t schedule a primary that jeopardizes delegates for either party.”

Good Sunday morning. Thanks for reading Playbook. What are your predictions for Biden’s State of the Union speech? Drop us a line: Rachael BadeEugene DanielsRyan Lizza.

 

A message from The American Petroleum Institute (API):

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Learn more about API’s plan to Make, Move and Improve American energy.

 

SUNDAY BEST …

— Sen. MARCO RUBIO (R-Fla.) on the Chinese balloon, on CNN’s “State of the Union”: “They calculated this carefully with a message embedded in it. And I think that’s the part we can’t forget here. It’s not just the balloon. It’s the message to try to send the world that … we can do whatever we want, and America can’t stop us.”

On previous reports of balloons in the U.S. under prior administrations: “That it flew briefly over some part of the U.S. or continental U.S., that’s one thing. But what we saw this week, it’s unprecedented. And that’s why everyone’s reacting the way they’re reacting. We have never seen this. So, this is no comparison to anything that may have happened up to this point.”

— Sen. CORY BOOKER (D-N.J.) on the Chinese balloon, on CBS’ “Face the Nation”: “We have a real problem with China on a number of issues. From their human rights violations to their violations of international business law, to even the challenges we’ve had with them on overt spying. So I’m grateful that the military took decisive action when they did and how they did. But we obviously have issues here.”

On whether bipartisan legislation on police reform is possible: “I think there’s a pathway forward, though I'm very sobered in a divided Congress about our ability to get it done.”

— Transportation Secretary PETE BUTTIGIEG on U.S.-China relations, on NBC’s “Meet the Press”: “I don’t really know that you could do a one-to-one comparison with the last Cold War, but certainly you see this great power competition, and we’re seeing it a lot.”

On whether Biden could have been more transparent on the documents investigations: “Coulda, woulda, shoulda is not the strategic direction or focus in this administration.”

— Sen. TOM COTTON (R-Ark.) on U.S.-China relations, on “Fox News Sunday”: “China has been waging a Cold War against the United States for decades, and unfortunately, not many of our leaders have acknowledged that.”

TOP-EDS: A roundup of the week’s must-read opinion and analysis pieces.

BIDEN’S SUNDAY — The president has nothing on his public schedule.

VP KAMALA HARRIS’ SUNDAY — The VP has nothing on her public schedule.

 

JOIN POLITICO ON 2/9 TO HEAR FROM AMERICA’S GOVERNORS: In a divided Congress, more legislative and policy enforcement will shift to the states, meaning governors will take a leading role in setting the agenda for the nation. Join POLITICO on Thursday, Feb. 9 at World Wide Technology's D.C. Innovation Center for The Fifty: America's Governors, where we will examine where innovations are taking shape and new regulatory red lines, the future of reproductive health, and how climate change is being addressed across a series of one-on-one interviews. REGISTER HERE.

 
 

PHOTO OF THE DAY

This photo taken with a drone shows portions of a Norfolk and Southern freight train that derailed Friday night in East Palestine, Ohio are still on fire at mid-day Saturday, Feb. 4, 2023.

A train that derailed on Friday night sits on fire in East Palestine, Ohio, on Saturday, Feb. 4. | Gene J. Puskar/AP Photo

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